Got Our Volatility Event 🍿🍾

Daily Market Model Update for 6/13/25

*This one is long, make sure you click through to the site to read it, because your email provider might cut off the bottom of the email and there are some good charts in there at the bottom!*

Welcome to the Daily Report where I review what happened in the past trading day, the driving forces behind the moves🚀. At the end of the day, I publish the signals from a Short-Term trading portfolio that trades between 4 -10 day holding periods (currently beating the S&P500 by a lot this year), an Intermediate Term Portfolio that holds for about 3 months on average targeting 15-25% yearly returns, and the actual signals I use for trading my retirement accounts using mean reversion (5 different systems that average 10-20% yearly gains on the indexes). Everything comes with back tested results on the setup📝 and the entries and exits always happen at the end of the day so you can buy and sell in the after-hours session (or on the open the next session if you prefer). I personally trade these signals, so there is no funny business here. I eat my own cooking🍳.

Let’s review what happened today!

What Drove Today’s Move

Today we saw the market somewhat surprised by a Geopolitical Event (Israel decided to attack Iran). Typically, these kinds of thing don’t produce much of a market reaction other than a couple days of surprise, but this time I’m reserving my judgement due to the setup in the market right now.

We noted the volatility setup for subs a couple days ago, I hope you were able to make some money on Vix calls if that was your thing. 😊

What was rallying today? ORCL (again) - that looks amazing soon for a short - I like to look for a lower high to develop on lower volume to know we are getting tired first. We had energy rallying on a big spike in oil prices, and we also had defense names putting in nice days based on War. I’ll review LMT 0.00%↑ here and we can take a look and see if this move is sustainable or not.

LMT is actually setting up for a large trend move soon - we can tell because the bands are pinched on the bottom momentum indicator. We certainly have a catalyst now, pure war in the Middle East tacitly supported by the Trump admin. But notice that pink arrow up top. That grey / blue line there is the yearly VWAP and it’s going to be tough resistance. 494.01 is the level. I like setups like this and often I’ll buy it once it clears major resistance for a couple days in a row and use that major level as support during the initial phase of a push up. This setup looks pretty decent to me as long as it jumps over 494 and holds.

LMT Dailies Coiled and Ready for Trending Soon