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Daily Market Model Update for 7/15/25

*This one is long, make sure you click through to the site to read it, because your email provider might cut off the bottom of the email and there are some good charts in there at the bottom!*

Welcome to the Daily Report where I review what happened in the past trading day, the driving forces behind the moves🚀. At the end of the day, I publish the signals from a Short-Term trading portfolio that trades between 4 -10 day holding periods (currently beating the S&P500 by a lot this year), an Intermediate Term Portfolio that holds for about 3 months on average targeting 15-25% yearly returns, and the actual signals I use for trading my retirement accounts using mean reversion (5 different systems that average 10-20% yearly gains on the indexes). Everything comes with back tested results on the setup📝 and the entries and exits always happen at the end of the day so you can buy and sell in the after-hours session (or on the open the next session if you prefer). I personally trade these signals, so there is no funny business here. I eat my own cooking🍳.

Let’s review what happened today!

What Drove Today’s Move

We had some little Macaroonie TACO Trade Chasers finally get trapped this morning.

Korea started up around 1% and reversed, so did the QQQs. We still couldn’t get it to release under 0 Gamma Lines though (Yellow Horizontal Line below). Vol Control Funds were really holding us up today, but into the last 10 minutes, we could have finally exhausted their bid. We closed under 0 Gamma, which is Bearish.

Last 10 Minutes Heavy Selling Took Over, Closed Under 0 Gamma Line (Horizontal Yellow Line)

Solars were the story of the day today. FSLR 0.00%↑ was up bigly after holding the Monthly VWAP (pink line). The Momentum Indicator on the bottom clip is pinched (pink arrows) so this move is going to be directional and once we clear that Grey Line (Yearly VWAP) it’s going to have very little resistance in front of it. Very explosive bullish setup.

FSLR Pinched and Ready to Release Up

We got the CPI report today and it was hot. Bonds started the day gapping up and finished on the lows and down another 1%. Look at all this food that is ripping at the Grocery Store and even food away from home is running 5-7%. Electricity is running at almost 6% now too. But if you listen to Cable News and that little Orange Dude in the Oval Office, we don’t have any inflation. 🙄

The US Dollar was ripping today. It’s at a spot to see some resistance. But this setup is oversold on the weeklies, so it can really stay overbought on the Dailies for a while. This is a headwind for stocks (Dollar up usually means stocks down if everything else is equal).

US Dollar Almost at Green Line Resistance, Bottom Clip Showing Overbought (Red Dot)