😁 We Called the Top Call AGAIN

Daily Market Model Update for 10/10/25

*This one is long, make sure you click through to the site to read it, because your email provider might cut off the bottom of the email and there are some good charts in there at the bottom!*

Welcome to the Daily Report where I review what happened in the past trading day, the driving forces behind the moves🚀. At the end of the day, I publish the signals from a Short-Term trading portfolio that trades between 4 -10 day holding periods (currently beating the S&P500 by a lot this year), an Intermediate Term Portfolio that holds for about 3 months on average targeting 15-25% yearly returns, and the actual signals I use for trading my retirement accounts using mean reversion (5 different systems that average 10-20% yearly gains on the indexes). Everything comes with back tested results on the setup📝 and the entries and exits always happen at the end of the day so you can buy and sell in the after-hours session (or on the open the next session if you prefer). I personally trade these signals, so there is no funny business here. I eat my own cooking🍳.

Let’s review what happened today!

Morning Report Review

I’m going to skip this today, there is too much other stuff to talk about - the market went down all day, ripped hard under the Put Walls and it was over after that. After hours it looks like the liquidity is nothing and we are getting Earthquake headlines that are dragging futures lower (or someone knew Trump was going to announce Tariffs 10 minutes before the Presser, also likely in this Crony environment).

I should have stayed away day trading (my filters said it was a bad day to trade as subs know), but once we started hitting Monthly support I got in there and proceeded to lose about 1.5% of my account. That was a mistake - worst day for me in a while - worst week of the year too. But that account is tiny - 95% of my capital was safely away in cash.

What Drove Today’s Move

Today was pretty simple - Trump got on the Twitter and restarted the Trade War with China. People think it’s going to turn into a hot war (it could), so they sold everything.

My parents sent me a text at 1:14 PM EST (they are mega MAGAs) and it said “Dad wants to know if we are going to war with China?” 😅

That about sums it up. Pure panic.

None of this should be surprising - we have been sitting here for the last couple weeks just slowly, meticulously cataloguing all the signs stacking up that the market was due to sell. Today we erased an ENTIRE MONTH of gains on the SPY (circled). Bye-Bye!

One Month of Gains Gone on SPY

We have been warning Vix was about to explode. You can read about it here - while you are at it, also click on the link inside that post that ALSO has the link from the last time we called the market top in December too.

🌋Vix Is Already Running, I'm Not Screwing Around Here

Here is the picture of the 3-Month Vix. We have all kinds of little tricks to be able to understand when Volatility is ready to jump. It took a while this time - and unfortunately all that means is that more people are trapped than normal.

Vix Spike Setup

Subs know we just killed it with a Short Semis trade using SOXS 0.00%↑ SOXS. This was what I posted on the Morning Note on the Morning of 10/7 (before the selling started that morning). I even started a Thread for Founding Members in our Chat (for Founding Members only) where I went through my entries and exits on the trade. Thing was up 20+% today.

10/7 SOXS Trade

We have all kinds of fun signals tonight. I normally have a 7-Day Free Trial for my stuff, but I’ve turned that off now.

There are no excuses if you didn’t heed the warnings for the last week or two. It’s only $100 a month or $750 a year and that Semis trade would have paid for a year of subscription if you had just $4000 in your account, not to mention all the money you would have saved by not getting smashed today.

Long term outperformance hinges on a single thing - avoiding the worst 10 days of the year.

I am just about there with regard to max-exposure / subs. I don’t intend to grow this to a giant group because I do so much educating, not just calling out setups and trades.

Now it’s time to start making some darn money because this is when I do my best work. 🤘